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来源类型Article and other Publication
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The dynamics of mass killings: testing time-series models of one-sided violence in Bosnia
Schneider, Gerald; Margit Bussmann; Constantin Ruhe
出版年2012
摘要Many observers contend that wartime civilian victimization is an instrument of political leaders to achieve a particular goal. This article examines whether retaliation for similar acts by the other side, the developments on the battlefield, or the behavior of international actors accounts for the ups and downs of this so-called one-sided violence. Using information from the Konstanz One-Sided Violence Event Dataset and other sources, we evaluate the empirical relevance of these complementary models statistically. Time series analyses of the weekly number of killed and harmed Muslims (Bosniacs) and Serbs during the Bosnian civil war support the military and the massacre logic. We show that the Serbian side decreased one-sided violence following a territorial conquest, but that its one-sided violence was not a reciprocal response to the Bosniac targeting of civilians. Conversely, the Bosniac side resorted to violence during times of increasing Serbian atrocities and when the fighting was particularly intense. The analysis reveals that most international interventions did not reduce the carnage, but that the Serbs responded to Russian moves.
URLhttps://www.die-gdi.de/en/others-publications/article/the-dynamics-of-mass-killings-testing-time-series-models-of-one-sided-violence-in-bosnia/
来源智库German Development Institute (Germany)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/497796
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Schneider, Gerald,Margit Bussmann,Constantin Ruhe. The dynamics of mass killings: testing time-series models of one-sided violence in Bosnia.
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