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Aid and conflict at the sub-national level: evidence from World Bank and chinese development projects in Africa
Gehring, Kai; Lennart Kaplan; Melvin H.L. Wong
出版年2019
摘要Does aid fuel conflict in recipient countries? Existing studies of aggregate country level data or specific aid types in individual countries do not conclusively answer this question. We use georeferenced data on development projects by the World Bank (WB) and China, two donors with strongly contrasting approaches to development, to provide a comprehensive analysis of the effect of aid on conflict at the sub-national level in Africa. The results using fixed effects and instrumental variables strategies indicate that aid from both donors, on average, reduces rather than fuels lethal conflict. Our analysis suggests that this is driven by projects in the transport and financial sector, and relates to less lethal government violence against civilians. There is also no increased likelihood of demonstrations, strikes, or riots, but more government repression in regions with Chinese aid. Analysis of Afrobarometer survey data is consistent with this and highlights differences between the two donors.
URLhttps://www.die-gdi.de/en/others-publications/article/aid-and-conflict-at-the-sub-national-level-evidence-from-world-bank-and-chinese-development-projects-in-africa/
来源智库German Development Institute (Germany)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/499580
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Gehring, Kai,Lennart Kaplan,Melvin H.L. Wong. Aid and conflict at the sub-national level: evidence from World Bank and chinese development projects in Africa.
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