全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Predicting social tipping points: current research and the way forward

G2TT

来源类型	Discussion Paper
规范类型	工作论文
ISBN	978-3-88985-537-4
	Predicting social tipping points: current research and the way forward
	Grimm, Sonja; Gerald Schneider
发表日期	2011
出版年	2011
摘要	The prediction of the breakdown of social order is both a considerable academic challenge and a major development concern. This essay argues that the three main approaches used to assess these risks – the structural, the dynamic and the game-theoretic approaches – supplement each other in the task of predicting extreme events. Although these approaches – alone or in conjunction with each other – can help to identify some real risks, one of the key problems is the translation of these findings into reasonable policy recommendations. One particular challenge that the academic world and practitioners have to address is the forecasted effectiveness of various policies that aim at reducing the risk of social and political instability.
URL	https://www.die-gdi.de/en/discussion-paper/article/predicting-social-tipping-points-current-research-and-the-way-forward/
来源智库	German Development Institute (Germany)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/499829
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Grimm, Sonja,Gerald Schneider. Predicting social tipping points: current research and the way forward. 2011.