G2TT
来源类型Faculty Working Papers
规范类型工作论文
来源IDCID Working Paper No. 150
A Balance-Sheet Approach to Fiscal Sustainability
Eduardo Levy-Yeyati and Federico Sturzenegger
发表日期2007-10
出版年2007
摘要

Recent empirical research on emerging markets debt, currency crises and fiscal sustainability has placed a significant focus on the role of currency mismatches with the emphasis placed on the currency composition of explicit government liabilities. The key insight of this paper is that these liabilities, while relevant, usually represent a small share of actual government liabilities: indeed, as an indicator of fiscal solvency, they are relatively uninformative – and possibly misleading – if not matched with the remaining liabilities (promises of wage and pension payments among others) and the asset side of the government’s balance sheet: financial and real government assets as well as the present value of future tax collection. These non-debt liabilities and assets may be affected by changes in the real exchange rate in a way that dwarfs the effect on the explicit liabilities which are typically the focus of attention. With this in mind, this paper proposes a balance-sheet approach that, as illustrated by the practical applications included here, may radically alter the results from traditional sustainability evaluations – and, more generally, the perception of a country’s fiscal vulnerability.

URLhttps://www.hks.harvard.edu/centers/cid/publications/faculty-working-papers/cid-working-paper-no.-150
来源智库Center for International Development (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/503079
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Eduardo Levy-Yeyati and Federico Sturzenegger. A Balance-Sheet Approach to Fiscal Sustainability. 2007.
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