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来源类型 | Fellow & Graduate Student Working Papers |
规范类型 | 工作论文 |
来源ID | CID Research Fellow & Graduate Student Working Paper No. 64 |
The Right Fit for the Wrong Reasons: Real Business Cycle in an Oil-Dependent Economy | |
Miguel Santos | |
发表日期 | 2015-09 |
出版年 | 2015 |
摘要 | Venezuela is an oil-dependent economy subject to large exogenous shocks, with a rigid labor market. These features go straight at the heart of two weaknesses of real business cycle (RBC) theory widely reported in the literature: Neither shocks are volatile enough nor real salaries are sufficiently flexible as required by the RBC framework to replicate the behavior of the economy. We calibrate a basic RBC model and compare a set of relevant statistics from RBC-simulated time series with actual data for Venezuela and the benchmark case of the United States (1950-2008-). In spite of Venezuela being one of the most heavily intervened economies in the world, RBC-simulated series provide a surprisingly good fit when it comes to the non-oil sector of the economy, and in particular for labor markets. Large restrictions on dismissal and widespread minimum (nominal) wage put all the burden of adjustment on prices; which translate into highly volatile real wages. |
关键词 | macroeconomics Venezuela RBC oil shocks Labor Markets |
URL | https://www.hks.harvard.edu/centers/cid/publications/fellow-graduate-student-working-papers/the-right-fit-for-the-wrong-reasons-real-business-cycle-in-an-oil-dependent-economy |
来源智库 | Center for International Development (United States) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/503303 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Miguel Santos. The Right Fit for the Wrong Reasons: Real Business Cycle in an Oil-Dependent Economy. 2015. |
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