Methodology of the RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll

Kapteyn, Arie; Meijer, Erik; Weerman, Bas; Kapteyn, Arie; Meijer, Erik; Weerman, Bas

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来源类型	Report
规范类型	报告
来源ID	RR-858-RC
	Methodology of the RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll
	Arie Kapteyn; Erik Meijer; Bas Weerman
发表日期	2014-10-03
出版年	2014
页码	15
语种	英语
结论	Methodology of the RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll \| RAND Skip to page content Objective Analysis. Effective Solutions.
摘要	The RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll (CPEP) is conducted within the American Life Panel, which is an internet panel recruited through traditional probability sampling to ensure representativeness. The CPEP differs from other polls in that it asks the same respondents repeatedly about their voting preferences. Thus, it leads to more stable outcomes and changes are due to individuals' changing their minds and not due to random sampling fluctuations. The CPEP is also different because it asks respondents to state their preferences for a candidate and the likelihood that they will vote in probabilistic terms (percent chance), which has been shown to improve forecasts several months before the election. This documents gives a detailed account of the methodology underlying the CPEP.
目录	Methodology of the RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll \| RAND Skip to page content Objective Analysis. Effective Solutions.
主题	Politics and Government ; Survey Research Methodology
URL	https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR858.html
来源智库	RAND Corporation (United States)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/522577
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Arie Kapteyn,Erik Meijer,Bas Weerman. Methodology of the RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll. 2014.

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文件名称/大小	资源类型	版本类型	开放类型	使用许可
RAND_RR858.pdf（600KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览
x1495316337205.jpg.p（1KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览