G2TT
来源类型Report
规范类型报告
来源IDRR-1021-AF
Look East, Cross Black Waters: India's Interest in Southeast Asia
Jonah Blank; Jennifer D. P. Moroney; Angel Rabasa; Bonny Lin
发表日期2015-10-22
出版年2015
语种英语
结论

India's Interest in Southeast Asia Will Have a Significant Impact on U.S. Strategic Planning.

  • India's interest in Southeast Asia has implications for U.S. policy of "Asian rebalancing," as well as for broader U.S.-India relations — but mutual interests could lead to modest burden-sharing and potential cost-savings for the United States.

India's Goals for Southeast Asia Are in Concert with U.S. Goals for the Region.

  • India's big-picture goals in Southeast Asia can be encapsulated in three basic mission statements, all of them fully congruent with U.S. strategy: (1) maintain regional stability and prevent any outside power from dominating the region; (2) secure maritime lines of communication and increase connectivity infrastructure for land, sea, and air transportation; and (3) ensure that simmering territorial disputes, including South China Sea claims, are settled peacefully.

The United States Should Not Expect India to Become an "Ally," Nor to Join with the United States in an Anti-China Coalition.

  • India's political culture remains wary of established foreign entanglements, and distrust of the United States runs strong among Indian policymakers. Further, India sees China as only a potential threat, which will diminish its desire to ally with the United States.

The Main Difference Between U.S. and Indian Policy Toward Southeast Asia Lies Not in Direction, but in Pace and Planning

  • Indian policymaking is typically slow by U.S. (and other) standards, and Indian strategy is formed case by case, without an overarching framework. Further, Indian domestic constraints can weigh against policy initiatives.
摘要

The global security interests of India and the United States overlap far more than they clash, and this is particularly the case in Southeast Asia. India's core goals for Southeast Asia are all in basic harmony with those of the United States — including regional stability; prevention of any outside nation from dominating the politics or economy of the region; peaceful settlement of territorial disputes such as the South China Sea; secure shipping through the Straits of Malacca and other crucial transit points; increased land, sea and air connectivity infrastructure; Myanmar's democratic transition; and containment of radicalism in states including Indonesia and Malaysia. But America should not expect India to enter any sort of alliance (formal or de facto), nor join any coalition to balance against China. This does not indicate an anti-American outlook, but a determination to engage with Southeast Asia at a pace and manner of India's own choosing — and a deep caution about precipitating conflict with Beijing. The replacement of a Congress Party government with a Bharatiya Janata Party administration in May 2014 has resulted in a recalibration of India's foreign policy, but not a radical shift in its overall direction. For U.S. policymakers in the security arena, the challenge in building cooperation with India in Southeast Asia will boil down to four elements: (1) understanding India's own goals for the region better, (2) adopting strategic patience in working at a pace and manner comfortable to India, (3) finding specific areas on which to focus attention, such as technology transfer, humanitarian assistance/disaster relief, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, and Myanmar policy, and (4) moving forward, laying the foundation for future progress.

目录
  • Chapter One

    Introduction

  • Chapter Two

    Why Does India's Interest in Southeast Asia Matter to the United States?

  • Chapter Three

    What Is India's Strategy Toward Southeast Asia?

  • Chapter Four

    How Is India's Strategy Being Implemented in Southeast Asia?

  • Chapter Five

    Is Southeast Asia an Arena for Sino-Indian Rivalry?

  • Chapter Six

    India's Internal Politics, 2014–2030: Impact on Policy Toward Southeast Asia..

  • Chapter Seven

    Key Findings and Recommendations

主题Global Security ; India ; Southeast Asia ; United States
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1021.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/522882
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Jonah Blank,Jennifer D. P. Moroney,Angel Rabasa,et al. Look East, Cross Black Waters: India's Interest in Southeast Asia. 2015.
条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小 资源类型 版本类型 开放类型 使用许可
RAND_RR1021.pdf(3005KB)智库出版物 限制开放CC BY-NC-SA浏览
x1495316252464.jpg.p(4KB)智库出版物 限制开放CC BY-NC-SA浏览
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Jonah Blank]的文章
[Jennifer D. P. Moroney]的文章
[Angel Rabasa]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Jonah Blank]的文章
[Jennifer D. P. Moroney]的文章
[Angel Rabasa]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Jonah Blank]的文章
[Jennifer D. P. Moroney]的文章
[Angel Rabasa]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
文件名: RAND_RR1021.pdf
格式: Adobe PDF
文件名: x1495316252464.jpg.pagespeed.ic.BTzn4vINuU.jpg
格式: JPEG

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。