G2TT
来源类型Report
规范类型报告
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.7249/RR1786.1
来源IDRR-1786/1-RC
Defence and security after Brexit: Understanding the possible implications of the UK's decision to leave the EU — Overview report
James Black; Alexandra Hall; Kate Cox; Marta Kepe; Erik Silfversten
发表日期2017-03-05
出版年2017
页码42
语种英语
结论

International cooperation

  • Defence may be less immediately affected by Brexit than areas such as labour policy or trade. Much international defence cooperation takes place through NATO or bilaterally — as will remain the case after the UK leaves the EU.
  • Analysis highlights the need for sustainable post-Brexit solutions for defence and security. This will require effective compromise and continued engagement between the UK and EU, which have both benefited from information-sharing, the joint work of bodies like Europol, and use of the European Arrest Warrant.

Strategic ambitions

  • Nonetheless, Brexit will require that both the UK and EU re-evaluate their strategic goals, what role they want to play in the world, and whether they have the capabilities and collaborative frameworks needed to achieve them.

Future of EU defence and security

  • The loss of the UK is a significant loss for the EU on defence. Some estimate that Brexit could reduce the EU's defence capabilities by a quarter. EU leaders are now working on plans to promote more EU defence integration, perhaps through a European operational headquarters — a plan long blocked by the UK while an EU member.

Regional implications

  • There are also important national and regional complications. France and Spain, for instance, are likely to reassess border relations at Calais and Gibraltar. For the UK, there are unique concerns facing Northern Ireland and Scotland.

Integrating defence and security into Brexit negotiations

  • Unlike in some other areas of policy, the UK is seen as a net contributor to European security and defence. This raises difficult questions for both sides about whether, when and how to leverage this in wider Brexit negotiations. Both sides risk becoming weaker and less secure if Brexit talks provoke a 'zero-sum' approach or a messy divorce.
摘要

This RAND study examines the potential defence and security implications of the United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union ('Brexit'). Specifically, it seeks to identify those policy areas, strategic concerns or military capabilities that might be most affected, as well as to explore and define the spectrum of possible outcomes in each area. The goal is to help policymakers both inside and outside the UK to understand the key questions provoked by Brexit, and thus to inform how defence and security actors begin to plan for, mitigate and address these uncertainties as the UK begins negotiations to leave the European Union.

,

This RAND study comprises three publications:

目录
  • Chapter One

    Introduction

  • Chapter Two

    Defence spending, research and industry

  • Chapter Three

    The UK's conventional defence capabilities and multinational defence commitments (EU CSDP and NATO)

  • Chapter Four

    Scotland and the UK nuclear deterrent

  • Chapter Five

    Migration, border security and overseas territories

  • Chapter Six

    Counterterrorism, organised crime, cyber and resilience

  • Chapter Seven

    Emerging themes and reflections

  • Chapter Eight

    Future directions for policymakers and researchers

  • Annex

    References and sources

主题Border and Port Security ; Counterterrorism ; European Union ; Military Budgets and Defense Spending ; North Atlantic Treaty Organization ; Nuclear Deterrence ; Politics and Government ; Security Cooperation ; United Kingdom
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1786z1.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/523246
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
James Black,Alexandra Hall,Kate Cox,等. Defence and security after Brexit: Understanding the possible implications of the UK's decision to leave the EU — Overview report. 2017.
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