Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Report |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.7249/RR2477 |
来源ID | RR-2477-A |
National Will to Fight: Why Some States Keep Fighting and Others Don't | |
Michael J. McNerney; Ben Connable; S. Rebecca Zimmerman; Natasha Lander; Marek N. Posard; Jasen J. Castillo; Dan Madden; Ilana Blum; Aaron B. Frank; Benjamin J. Fernandes; et al. | |
发表日期 | 2018-09-20 |
出版年 | 2018 |
语种 | 英语 |
结论 | National will to fight has been insufficiently analyzed, but RAND Arroyo Center's multi-method research has identified some key variables to help understand and influence it
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摘要 | What drives some governments to persevere in war at any price while others choose to stop fighting? It is often less-tangible political and economic variables, rather than raw military power, that ultimately determine national will to fight. In this analysis, the authors explore how these variables strengthen or weaken a government's determination to conduct sustained military operations, even when the expectation of success decreases or the need for significant political, economic, and military sacrifices increases. ,This report is part of a broader RAND Arroyo Center effort to help U.S. leaders better understand and influence will to fight at both the national level and the tactical and operational levels. It presents findings and recommendations based on a wide-ranging literature review, a series of interviews, 15 case studies (including deep dives into conflicts involving the Korean Peninsula and Russia), and reviews of relevant modeling and war-gaming. ,The authors propose an exploratory model of 15 variables that can be tailored and applied to a wide set of conflict scenarios and drive a much-needed dialogue among analysts conducting threat assessments, contingency plans, war games, and other efforts that require an evaluation of how future conflicts might unfold. The recommendations should provide insights into how leaders can influence will to fight in both allies and adversaries. |
目录 |
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主题 | Civil-Military Relations ; Military Force Deployment ; Military Strategy ; Psychological Warfare ; Threat Assessment ; United States Army ; Wargaming |
URL | https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR2477.html |
来源智库 | RAND Corporation (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/523631 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Michael J. McNerney,Ben Connable,S. Rebecca Zimmerman,et al. National Will to Fight: Why Some States Keep Fighting and Others Don't. 2018. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
RAND_RR2477.pdf(4569KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
x1570206980677.jpg.p(7KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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