Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Report |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.7249/RR1701 |
来源ID | RR-1701-AF |
Evaluating Future Trends in Support of the Air Force Strategic Environment Assessment: Discussion and Results from a Structured Workshop | |
David T. Orletsky; Yuna Huh Wong; Brien Alkire; Steven Berner; David R. Frelinger; Forrest E. Morgan; Karl P. Mueller; Marek N. Posard; Richard Silberglitt; William Young | |
发表日期 | 2019-10-21 |
出版年 | 2019 |
语种 | 英语 |
结论 | Future worlds provide a diverse set of backdrops for planning purposes
Improvements to the workshop would help in facing complex, challenging problems
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摘要 | Every few years, the Air Force develops the Strategic Environment Assessment (AFSEA). The 2016 AFSEA is a 30-year look into the future for Air Force planning. As part of this process, Air Force asked RAND researchers to identify plausible futures based on nine trends in the categories of Geopolitical, Military & Warfare, and Human & Workforce to assist Air Force strategic planning in developing the AFSEA. The RAND team generated a range of future projections based on each of these trends and then convened a collaborative structured workshop to identify important interactions between these trends and to develop a set of future worlds during a 30-year time frame to assist the Air Force during the AFSEA. ,The workshop was a two-day event during which the RAND trend experts (1) presented their trend assessments and plausible futures; (2) conducted a cross-consistency analysis to look for any combinations of futures that they felt would be inconsistent with each other; (3) identified "interesting pairings" of futures; and (4) developed future worlds using different combinations of trend futures. The purpose of the workshop was to create a set of future worlds that represented diverse contexts and potential challenges for the Air Force to consider. This report presents the results of that workshop. |
目录 |
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主题 | Military Strategy ; Military Transformation ; Politics and Government ; United States Air Force ; Workforce Management |
URL | https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1701.html |
来源智库 | RAND Corporation (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/523915 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | David T. Orletsky,Yuna Huh Wong,Brien Alkire,et al. Evaluating Future Trends in Support of the Air Force Strategic Environment Assessment: Discussion and Results from a Structured Workshop. 2019. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
RAND_RR1701.pdf(1948KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
1571670935499.jpg(6KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | ![]() 浏览 |
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