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来源类型 | Report |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.7249/RR2539 |
来源ID | RR-2539-A |
Russia's Hostile Measures: Combating Russian Gray Zone Aggression Against NATO in the Contact, Blunt, and Surge Layers of Competition | |
Ben Connable; Stephanie Young; Stephanie Pezard; Andrew Radin; Raphael S. Cohen; Katya Migacheva; James Sladden | |
发表日期 | 2020-01-07 |
出版年 | 2020 |
语种 | 英语 |
结论 | Russia's use of hostile measures is not new
Patterns in Russian gray-zone behavior make it possible to forecast Russia's use of hostile measures
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摘要 | Russia's conventional capabilities pose a serious threat to NATO that remains mostly untested. Where it has historically succeeded is in using various types of hostile measures to sow disorder, weaken democratic institutions, and undermine NATO cohesion and what Russia perceives as the eastward expansion of Western institutions. However, Russia also has a long track record of strategic shortfalls, and even some ineptitude. Formulating strategies for addressing these actions demands a clear understanding of how and why Russian leaders employ hostile measures—for example, economic embargoes, limited military incursions, cyberattacks, and information campaigns. ,A historical review of Soviet-era power dynamics and detailed case studies of Russian hostile measures in the post-Soviet era help clarify the conditions under which Russia employs hostile measures and the vulnerabilities it exploits in the countries it targets—as well as the messages these measures send to other key audiences, such as Russia's domestic public, the Russian diaspora, and Western powers that Russia perceives as encroaching on its sphere of influence. ,NATO and other Western powers will benefit from exploring opportunities to deter, prevent, and counter Russian hostile behavior in the so-called gray zone short of war, where daily adversarial competition occurs. Many of the behaviors that Russia exhibits in the gray zone will no doubt extend to conventional war. |
目录 |
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主题 | Low-Intensity Conflict ; North Atlantic Treaty Organization ; Russia ; Soviet Union ; Threat Assessment |
URL | https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR2539.html |
来源智库 | RAND Corporation (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/523980 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ben Connable,Stephanie Young,Stephanie Pezard,et al. Russia's Hostile Measures: Combating Russian Gray Zone Aggression Against NATO in the Contact, Blunt, and Surge Layers of Competition. 2020. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
RAND_RR2539.pdf(1592KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
x1578404974366.jpg.p(2KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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