G2TT
来源类型Report
规范类型报告
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.7249/RR4381
来源IDRR-4381-NMOD
Enhancing deterrence and defence on NATO's northern flank: Allied perspectives on strategic options for Norway
James Black; Stephen J. Flanagan; Gene Germanovich; Ruth Harris; David A. Ochmanek; Marina Favaro; Katerina Galai; Emily Ryen Gloinson
发表日期2020-03-25
出版年2020
页码96
语种英语
结论

Allied perspectives on NATO in the High North

  • Allies do not anticipate direct threats to Norway in the short term. Instead, the most significant threat is horizontal escalation of a conflict triggered in another region.
  • The High North holds strategic importance to Russia's Bastion Defence in the Barents Sea and Arctic. NATO must plan for possible future operations in an increasingly contested environment.
  • The Bear and GIUK gaps are key to warning of Russian Northern Fleet operations against NATO in any future conflict.
  • The rise of China is seen as a significant issue for NATO, though Allied officials differ over the urgency and scale of this challenge.
  • Allies welcome an enduring role for Norway beyond that nation's immediate neighbourhood, stressing the importance of a 360° approach to security.

Allied perspectives on strategic considerations for Norway

  • NATO forms an indispensable pillar of Norwegian security, and in turn benefits from Norway's active contributions to the Alliance.
  • Allies regard Norway as 'punching above its weight' due to high-end capabilities and its ability to engage all of society in the defence effort ('Total Defence').
  • Despite these perceived strengths, Norway faces pressing challenges. These include the need to manage changing political partnerships as well as to enhance the readiness and resilience of Norwegian forces to deter aggression.
  • Though Norway's Total Defence Concept is ahead of many Allies, it also needs bolstering to counter new threats to society.
  • Norway could use its national defence strategy to shape NATO's thinking on topics such as Russia, societal resilience and innovation.

Norway has five strategic options

  • Strengthen deterrence in Norway by enhancing the capability and readiness of Norwegian Armed Forces.
  • Increase Norway's ability to receive, support and operate alongside large-scale Allied land, air and naval forces.
  • Explore concepts to disrupt any adversary's tempo of operations.
  • Enhance national and societal resilience.
  • Identify and pursue opportunities for Norwegian leadership within NATO.
摘要

As a founding member of NATO, Norway supports efforts to enhance deterrence, crisis management and regional security in the North Atlantic and High North — a region commonly understood to include territories in Scandinavia and northern Russia, as well as the surrounding waters of the Arctic Ocean, Barents Sea and North Sea. To help ensure effective delivery of these tasks and inform ongoing strategy and policy development, Norway needs insight into other NATO Allies' perspectives on strategic opportunities and challenges in the region.

,

Researchers from RAND Europe and the RAND Corporation combined a targeted document review with expert workshops and field visits to gather and analyse evidence in support of the Norwegian Ministry of Defence's (MOD) strategy development, planning and defence policy. Researchers examined the perspectives of defence officials from Denmark, France, Germany, the UK, the US and NATO institutions and this analysis fed into a summary of findings alongside five strategic options for the MOD to consider.

目录
  • Chapter One

    Introduction

  • Chapter Two

    Allied Perspectives on NATO in the High North

  • Chapter Three

    Allied Perspectives on Strategic Considerations for Norway

  • Chapter Four

    Strategic Implications and Options for Norway

  • Chapter Five

    Conclusions

  • Annex A

    List of Key Consultations

主题Civil Defense ; Joint Operations ; Military Strategy ; North Atlantic Treaty Organization ; Norway ; Security Cooperation
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR4381.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/524039
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
James Black,Stephen J. Flanagan,Gene Germanovich,et al. Enhancing deterrence and defence on NATO's northern flank: Allied perspectives on strategic options for Norway. 2020.
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