Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Report |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.7249/RR2551 |
来源ID | RR-2551-OSD |
Could the Houthis Be the Next Hizballah? Iranian Proxy Development in Yemen and the Future of the Houthi Movement | |
Trevor Johnston; Matthew Lane; Abigail Casey; Heather J. Williams; Ashley L. Rhoades; James Sladden; Nathan Vest; Jordan R. Reimer; Ryan Haberman | |
发表日期 | 2020-07-13 |
出版年 | 2020 |
语种 | 英语 |
结论 | The authors posit two possible relationships between the Houthis and Iran for the future: a transactional relationship or a partnership.
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摘要 | In recent years Iran has dramatically increased its investment in the Houthi movement, raising speculation that the Houthis will evolve into another regional proxy that serves to protect and promote Iranian interests. Iran has frequently turned to sponsor-proxy relationships to expand its reach in the Middle East and antagonize its adversaries while minimizing the risk of inviting direct conflict. The Houthis represent an attractive opportunity on both of these counts — giving Iran reach into Yemen and the adjacent Red Sea and providing Iran a means to harass its rival, Saudi Arabia. The authors document the results of a project analyzing the prospect that Iran will further invest in the Houthis and develop them into an enduring proxy group in Yemen. The authors focus on the history of the Houthi movement, its current relations with Iran, and possibilities for the future. To inform this analysis and better capture Iran's strategic calculus vis-à-vis the Houthis, the project also explores Iran's history of proxy development in three distinct contexts: Lebanon, Iraq, and the Persian Gulf. Lessons from these cases have informed the analysis of the trajectory of the Houthi-Iran relationship, and the authors pose scenarios for the future. The project's findings should be of interest to a wide-ranging audience in the foreign policy and defense community, and particularly those interested in proxy warfare and conflict dynamics in the Middle East. The analysis can help policymakers better understand Iranian motivations throughout the region, while offering clear signals and warnings of potential escalation in Yemen. |
目录 |
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主题 | International Diplomacy ; Iran ; Politics and Government ; Saudi Arabia ; Threat Assessment ; Yemen |
URL | https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR2551.html |
来源智库 | RAND Corporation (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/524153 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Trevor Johnston,Matthew Lane,Abigail Casey,et al. Could the Houthis Be the Next Hizballah? Iranian Proxy Development in Yemen and the Future of the Houthi Movement. 2020. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
RAND_RR2551.pdf(3016KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
x1594653015445.jpg.p(5KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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