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来源类型 | Report |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.7249/RR3142 |
来源ID | RR-3142-A |
What Deters and Why: Applying a Framework to Assess Deterrence of Gray Zone Aggression | |
Michael J. Mazarr; Joe Cheravitch; Jeffrey W. Hornung; Stephanie Pezard | |
发表日期 | 2021-04-19 |
出版年 | 2021 |
语种 | 英语 |
结论 | Deterring gray zone aggression is more difficult than deterring interstate aggression is
Deterrence is in a reasonably strong, though mixed, condition in each of the three examined contexts
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摘要 | In an era of rising global competition, U.S. challengers and rivals are increasingly looking to achieve competitive advantage through gray zone activities — that is, acts of aggression that remain below the threshold of outright warfare. In this report, RAND researchers identify eight common characteristics of such aggression (e.g., unfolds gradually, is not attributable) and develop a framework for assessing the health of U.S. and partner deterrence in the gray zone. They apply the framework to three cases: China's aggression against the Senkaku Islands, Russia's aggression against the Baltic states, and North Korea's aggression against South Korea. The authors conclude that U.S. and partner deterrence of gray zone activities is in a reasonably strong, though mixed, condition in each of these three contexts. Finally, the authors outline the implications of their findings for the U.S. Army. Among these implications are that maintaining a local presence and posture plays an important role in conveying likely responses to aggression, and clear statements of shared intent to respond to specific actions are critical. |
目录 |
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主题 | Global Security ; Low-Intensity Conflict ; Military Strategy ; United States Army |
URL | https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR3142.html |
来源智库 | RAND Corporation (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/524423 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Michael J. Mazarr,Joe Cheravitch,Jeffrey W. Hornung,et al. What Deters and Why: Applying a Framework to Assess Deterrence of Gray Zone Aggression. 2021. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
RAND_RR3142.pdf(1175KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
x1618838809650.jpg.p(2KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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