Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Report |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.7249/RR-A444-2 |
来源ID | RR-A444-2 |
Iran's Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts | |
Ariane M. Tabatabai; Nathan Chandler; Bryan Frederick; Jennifer Kavanagh | |
发表日期 | 2021-09-27 |
出版年 | 2021 |
语种 | 英语 |
结论 | The presence of co-identity group populations is nearly a prerequisite for Iranian interventions
External threats to Iran's sovereignty and the regional balance of power also are key factors
In the future, Iran may have two models of interventions it can leverage
|
摘要 | In recent years, Iran has risen as one of the most significant regional challenges faced by the United States, with Tehran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs, support for terrorist groups and militias, cyber activities and influence operations, and military interventions in the region. ,In this report, the authors assess when, where, why, and how Iran conducts military interventions and identify key signposts of Iranian military interventions that can be used as early warning indicators for U.S. military planners and that can guide decisions about the use of forces in the Middle East region. They identify the factors that are most likely to shape Iran's military intervention decisions and analyze those factors as they relate to two detailed case studies: (1) Iran's involvement in the ongoing Syrian civil war and (2) Iran's post-2014 intervention in Iraq to counter the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria. ,The future of great-power competition and how it plays out in the Middle East, coupled with the regional landscape, are important factors that will shape how Iran sees its military activities. Although a move away from a period of greater U.S. power in the region would seem to provide fewer threats and more opportunities for Iran, the relations among Beijing, Moscow, and Washington and how they affect Iranian perceptions of the regional balance of power bear careful monitoring. |
目录 |
|
主题 | China ; Decisionmaking ; Global Security ; Iran ; Military Strategy ; Russia ; United States ; Warfare and Military Operations |
URL | https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA444-2.html |
来源智库 | RAND Corporation (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/524573 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ariane M. Tabatabai,Nathan Chandler,Bryan Frederick,et al. Iran's Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts. 2021. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
RAND_RRA444-2.pdf(1879KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
x1632745008068.jpg.p(4KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。