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来源类型 | Report |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.7249/RR-A444-3 |
来源ID | RR-A444-3 |
Russia's Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts | |
Samuel Charap; Edward Geist; Bryan Frederick; John J. Drennan; Nathan Chandler; Jennifer Kavanagh | |
发表日期 | 2021-09-27 |
出版年 | 2021 |
语种 | 英语 |
结论 |
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摘要 | Moscow's use of its military abroad in recent years has radically reshaped perceptions of Russia as an international actor. With the 2014 annexation of Crimea, the invasion of eastern Ukraine and sustainment of an insurgency there, and (in particular) the 2015 intervention in Syria, Russia repeatedly surprised U.S. policymakers with its willingness and ability to use its military to achieve its foreign policy objectives. ,Despite Russia's relatively small global economic footprint, it has engaged in more interventions than any other U.S. competitor since the end of the Cold War. In this report, the authors assess when, where, and why Russia conducts military interventions by analyzing the 25 interventions that Russia has undertaken since 1991, including detailed case studies of the 2008 Russia-Georgia War and Moscow's involvement in the ongoing Syrian civil war. ,The authors suggest that Russia is most likely to intervene to prevent erosion of its influence in its neighborhood, particularly following a shock that portends such an erosion occurring rapidly. If there were to be a regime change in a core Russian regional ally, such as Belarus or Armenia, that brought to power a government hostile to Moscow's interests, it is possible (if not likely) that a military intervention could ensue. |
目录 |
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主题 | China ; Decisionmaking ; Global Security ; Iran ; Military Strategy ; Russia ; Syria ; United States ; Warfare and Military Operations |
URL | https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA444-3.html |
来源智库 | RAND Corporation (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/524574 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Samuel Charap,Edward Geist,Bryan Frederick,et al. Russia's Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts. 2021. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
RAND_RRA444-3.pdf(1325KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
x1632745019670.jpg.p(4KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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