G2TT
来源类型Report
规范类型报告
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.7249/PE277
来源IDPE-277-RC
Does the U.S. No-Concessions Policy Deter Kidnappings of Americans?
Brian Michael Jenkins
发表日期2018-01-08
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要

The question of whether the United States should ever pay ransom to terrorists holding hostages is a persistent one. Should government save the lives of hostages even if it risks encouraging further hostage-taking and may put more people at peril in the future? Or must a few be sacrificed now in order to protect many others in the future? Moral arguments can be mustered on both sides, but it is important to consider the historical evidence about the presumptions on which policies are based.

,

For decades, the United States has declared a policy of not paying ransom to terrorists holding Americans hostage. Deterrence is offered as the principal reason for the U.S. adherence to a no-concessions policy, but whether empirical evidence supports that position remains a question. The RAND Corporation initiated its research on terrorism in 1972, including how best to deal with hostage incidents. This paper examines the trajectory of kidnappings and hostage-takings dating back to that time and discusses what research at the time suggested. More-recent studies offer contradicting results: Some studies challenge the deterrent value of the no-ransom policy but suggest that such a policy adversely affects the fate of the hostages, and one study suggests that U.S. ransom payments would have prompted more kidnappings.

主题Terrorism Financing ; Terrorist Organizations ; United States
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PE277.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/524916
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Brian Michael Jenkins. Does the U.S. No-Concessions Policy Deter Kidnappings of Americans?. 2018.
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