G2TT
来源类型Report
规范类型报告
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.7249/PE335
来源IDPE-335-RC
A U.S. Option Playbook for Contingency Planning to Reclaim Scarborough Shoal
Lyle J. Morris
发表日期2019-06-27
出版年2019
页码12
语种英语
摘要

Scarborough Shoal is a small, high-tide feature about 140 miles west of the Philippines, yet it represents one of the most consequential fault lines of Chinese territorial aggression in the South China Sea. In addition to being important for Philippine fishing and marine ecology, Scarborough Shoal is of major symbolic importance for the United States and its treaty ally, the Philippines. If China were to dredge the feature and build dual-use military facilities there, as it has done with several other features in the South China Sea, that would have major implications for peace and stability in the region and would put U.S. troops and Philippine territory at risk in a conflict with China. In this paper, the author proposes a graduated menu of response options for the United States to consider in the event that China undertakes irreversible actions to alter the status quo of Scarborough Shoal. In particular, the author considers three sets of response options—pre-crisis, during-crisis, and long-term responses—that the United States can take to significantly mitigate the possibility of China taking this step or, if deterrence fails, to impose costs that may prevent Chinese leaders from contemplating such actions in the future. This paper is partly informed by ongoing RAND Corporation work on gray zone challenges in Asia.

主题China ; Philippines ; Security Cooperation ; Threat Assessment
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PE335.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/524948
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Lyle J. Morris. A U.S. Option Playbook for Contingency Planning to Reclaim Scarborough Shoal. 2019.
条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小 资源类型 版本类型 开放类型 使用许可
RAND_PE335.pdf(146KB)智库出版物 限制开放CC BY-NC-SA浏览
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Lyle J. Morris]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Lyle J. Morris]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Lyle J. Morris]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
文件名: RAND_PE335.pdf
格式: Adobe PDF

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。