G2TT
来源类型Report
规范类型报告
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.7249/PEA1088-1
来源IDPE-A1088-1
Afghanistan in the Era of Fentanyl: Considering Potential Economic and Political Impacts of a Collapse in Demand for Afghanistan's Opiates
Victoria A. Greenfield; Bryce Pardo; Jirka Taylor
发表日期2021-07-26
出版年2021
页码24
语种英语
摘要

Afghanistan is the world's largest producer of illegal opium poppy and is a key source for heroin markets across Europe and Asia. For decades, illegal opiates have helped sustain farmers and workers in rural Afghanistan while funding nonstate actors and insurgent groups. Although many policymakers have sought to end this illegal production, few policy analysts have considered the broad impacts of a sudden, lasting end for Afghanistan. Given the rise and dominance of fentanyl and other synthetic opioids as they displace heroin in major drug markets in the Americas, the authors assess what might happen to Afghanistan if demand for its opiates dropped off sharply and permanently. A rapid collapse in the opiate market in Afghanistan could have devastating effects on rural populations and be disruptive to other sectors and actors in the economy. A more gradual decline in demand for Afghan opiates could ease the transition by giving Afghan households and the economy more time to adjust, but it might still result in lower living standards in an already-poor country and add to migratory pressures. The authors discuss how a collapse of the market for Afghan opiates could unfold and what role the international community may need to play should it occur. The loss of demand for Afghan opiates could have significant impacts on economic and political conditions, depending largely on the pace of change.

主题Afghanistan ; Drug Markets and Supply ; Economic Development ; Illegal Drug Trade ; Opioids
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PEA1088-1.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/525014
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Victoria A. Greenfield,Bryce Pardo,Jirka Taylor. Afghanistan in the Era of Fentanyl: Considering Potential Economic and Political Impacts of a Collapse in Demand for Afghanistan's Opiates. 2021.
条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小 资源类型 版本类型 开放类型 使用许可
RAND_PEA1088-1.pdf(247KB)智库出版物 限制开放CC BY-NC-SA浏览
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Victoria A. Greenfield]的文章
[Bryce Pardo]的文章
[Jirka Taylor]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Victoria A. Greenfield]的文章
[Bryce Pardo]的文章
[Jirka Taylor]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Victoria A. Greenfield]的文章
[Bryce Pardo]的文章
[Jirka Taylor]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
文件名: RAND_PEA1088-1.pdf
格式: Adobe PDF

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。