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Key Findings

1. The key factors shaping Russia's ability to generate and sustain Russian military forces have significantly changed over the past decade but show signs of remaining stable over the medium term.
2. The overall outlook for Russian development in key capabilities for ground combat is continuity, in terms of the overall approach and with respect to the characteristics of the military-industrial complex.
3. Russia's future development of ground combat capabilities will likely continue to focus on long-range strike; command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (C4ISR); and rapidly deployable forces.
4. Even after analyzing scenarios that could give Russia incentives to pursue different ground combat capabilities, the research team expects Russia to continue to prioritize capabilities associated with strategic deterrence, regional dominance, and internal security.