G2TT
来源类型Projects
规范类型研究项目
Future Migration Scenarios for Europe
其他题名FUME
Elmar Kriegler; Jacob Schewe
开始日期2019-12-01
结束日期2023-05-31
项目经费310.000 €
资助机构EU, H2020
摘要

The local circumstances play a major role in the migration process, from the decision to migrate through the transit process up to the settlement in the destination countries. Nearly all international migrants move to – generally the largest – cities in destination countries, either directly, or after one or more internal moves. This is also the case across Europe, where population growth in many cities can be largely attributed to an influx of migrants. At the same time, in countries of origin the largest cities often function as gateways to destinations abroad. Many potential migrants in villages and small towns in origin countries first move to these larger cities before leaving their country. Cities, therefore, both in countries of origin and destination, are significant determinants of global migration and small-scale local knowledge on migration is necessary to avoid misleading results associated with the limitations arising from the use of global or national patterns only. FUME will therefore focus on understanding the patterns, motivations and modalities of migration at multiple geographical scales, from international through regional to the local, and on imagining possible futures. FUME will determine 1) the major factors explaining migrant movement patterns by analysing regional and local circumstances that either attract migrants or ‘push’ potential migrants to move, and 2) elaborate how possible future regional socio-demographic, economic and environmental challenges may shape future migrant movement patterns in Europe. FUME will support appropriate planning and policymaking by formulating integrated and coherent visions of how migration to and within Europe might evolve under different scenarios relating to potential demographic, socio-economic, political and environmental challenges.

标签RD3 - Transformation Pathways ; FutureLab - Security ; Ethnic Conflicts and Migration ; Security & Migration
关键词https://www.pik-potsdam.de/en/output/projects/all/756
URLPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (Germany)
资源类型智库项目
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/527652
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Elmar Kriegler,Jacob Schewe. Future Migration Scenarios for Europe. 2019.
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