G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP155
DP155 Myopia, the 'Dividend Puzzle', and Share Prices
Stephen Nickell; Sushil Wadhwani
发表日期1987-02-01
出版年1987
语种英语
摘要The view that the stock market is myopic is commonly expressed in the financial press. However, the existing econometric evidence does not support this view. In this paper, we report econometric evidence suggesting that the market attaches too high a weight to current dividends relative to future dividends. This is consistent with the widely-held belief that the market is myopic. The main reason that we obtain a different result is that we estimate a model that is more general than the standard approach. However, we find no evidence to link this myopic behaviour with increased institutional ownership of equity. Our evidence can also be interpreted as a rejection of the standard efficient markets model, even when we allow for a time-varying discount rate. In addition our test does not depend on the time-series properties of dividends (e.g. we do not require stationarity).
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Dividends Efficient markets Myopia stock market
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp155
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/529311
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Stephen Nickell,Sushil Wadhwani. DP155 Myopia, the 'Dividend Puzzle', and Share Prices. 1987.
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