G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP610
DP610 The Trading Potential of Eastern Europe
L. Alan Winters; Zhen Kun Wang
发表日期1991-11-30
出版年1991
语种英语
摘要This paper fits a gravity model to the trade of 76 market economies. It then applies the model to data on East European economies to estimate what their trading potential might have been, had behaved like market economies in the mid-1980s. At existing levels of national income, the liberalization of Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union is unlikely to affect their mutual trade and trade with developing countries, but it will increase trade with industrial counties by factors of three to thirty. West Germany and the USA are the principal beneficiaries of this new trade, increasing their exports and imports by over 20%. Trade must flow both ways, however: the West cannot increase its exports to the East without correspondingly increasing its imports.
主题International Trade and Regional Economics
关键词Eastern europe Gravity model Trade
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp610
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/529756
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
L. Alan Winters,Zhen Kun Wang. DP610 The Trading Potential of Eastern Europe. 1991.
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