G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP739
DP739 Illusive Persistence in German Unemployment
Klaus F. Zimmermann
发表日期1992-11-30
出版年1992
语种英语
摘要The non-stationarity of many macroeconomic time series has lead to an increased demand for economic models that are able to generate fragile equilibria. For instance, in this literature the natural unemployment rate is allowed to shift over time depending on past unemployment. Actually, many European unemployment series seem to exhibit a unit root or persistence. This view is questioned in the paper using German data on unemployment. A new class of time-series models, the fractionally integrated ARMA model, that allows the difference parameter to take real values, enables the researcher to separate long memory and short memory in the data. It is shown that using this approach the unit root hypothesis is rejected but unemployment exhibits long memory.
关键词Fractional integration Hysteresis Long memory Persistence Unemployment
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp739
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/529894
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Klaus F. Zimmermann. DP739 Illusive Persistence in German Unemployment. 1992.
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