| 来源类型 | Discussion paper
|
| 规范类型 | 论文
|
| 来源ID | DP952
|
| DP952 Changes in the Relative Demand for Skills in the UK Labour Market |
| Stephen Machin
|
| 发表日期 | 1994-04-30
|
| 出版年 | 1994
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | We analyse the impact of increased immigration on labour market outcomes of natives in Germany using a dataset of county-level variables for the late 1980s. We study two measures of immigration, the change in the share of foreigners between 1985 and 1989, and one-year gross and net flows of immigrants to an area. In order to address the potential problem of immigrant bias towards local labour markets with above average performance we instrument the change in the foreign share by its previous level. Especially for unemployment we find large effects of an increased foreign share. We conjecture that these results might be spurious. Foreigners tend to be concentrated in lower unemployment areas but unemployment tends to be mean reverting during the boom period we study. This leads to a positive correlation between the instrument and the change in unemployment. Taking account of the mean reversion in unemployment we find no detrimental effect of immigration. Similar results are obtained on the basis of one-year flow data of foreigners. We also find no support for the hypothesis that the absence of displacement effects are due to a response of native migration patterns. The initial settlement of immigrants in Germany is largely independent of labour market conditions. Subsequent internal moves by foreigners are more responsive to local unemployment albeit much less than internal migration of natives. |
| 关键词 | Germany
Immigration
Local labour markets
Unemployment
|
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp952
|
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
|
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/530087
|
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Stephen Machin. DP952 Changes in the Relative Demand for Skills in the UK Labour Market. 1994.
|
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