| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP1099 |
| DP1099 Real Interest Rates and Central Bank Operating Procedures | |
| Matthew B Canzoneri; Harris Dellas | |
| 发表日期 | 1995-01-31 |
| 出版年 | 1995 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper considers a simple model of economic transition to analyse the dynamics of preferences over economic policy. I consider an economy with two sectors: a high-productivity private sector, which initially employs a small share of the economy's work-force, and a low-productivity state sector, where the majority of the population is employed at the outset. In the early stages of the transition, the private sector expands at a rate that is lower than the rate at which the state sector is contracting, with the result that unemployment first rises and then falls. The government's policy consists of a subsidy to the state sector, which has the effect of slowing down the transition. The analysis focuses on the dynamic evolution of workers' preferences over the level of the subsidy. A worker in the private sector always prefers the lowest possible subsidy to the state sector. The same is true of an unemployed worker as well, as the subsidy only reduces the number of new jobs created without reducing the number of job seekers. But state-sector workers have ambiguous feelings over reform strategy and their preferences change over time. In particular, even if state-sector workers prefer shock therapy at the outset, they will always want to slow the reforms down at a later stage. The reason is that the probability of finding a higher-paying private-sector job declines as the transition unfolds. |
| 主题 | International Macroeconomics ; International Trade and Regional Economics |
| 关键词 | Political economy Transition |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp1099 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/530244 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Matthew B Canzoneri,Harris Dellas. DP1099 Real Interest Rates and Central Bank Operating Procedures. 1995. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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