G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP1877
DP1877 Determinants of Attitudes Towards Immigration: A Trade-Theoretic Approach
Charles Ettinger; Jaime de Melo
发表日期1998-05-31
出版年1998
语种英语
摘要Conventional wisdom has it that increasing price or exchange rate uncertainty will depress investment. Using the Dixit-Pindyck model, we find that there are situations where this does happen; and situations where it does not ? i.e. increasing uncertainty leads to more investment. It depends first on the risk of being stuck with (ex-post) unwanted investments, then on the ratio of that risk to the opportunity cost of waiting, and finally on the initial level of uncertainty. There are important threshold effects as you switch from one determinant to another. That allows us to identify when rising volatility would increase or decrease investment; and also to identify which types of industries would gain, and which would suffer, from a move to fixed exchange rates. This is important for monetary union in Europe since it is likely that, even if trade is insensitive to exchange rate volatility, investment with its longer horizon (beyond insurance on the futures markets) is sensitive to such volatility. Our empirical results confirm that.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Exchange-rate uncertainty investment
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp1877
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/531018
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Charles Ettinger,Jaime de Melo. DP1877 Determinants of Attitudes Towards Immigration: A Trade-Theoretic Approach. 1998.
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