G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP2189
DP2189 Renegotiation Before Contract Execution
Achim Wambach
发表日期1999-07-26
出版年1999
语种英语
摘要Currency crises that coincide with banking crises tend to share four elements. First, governments provide guarantees to domestic and foreign bank creditors. Second, banks do not hedge their exchange rate risk. Third, there is a lending boom before the crises. Finally, when the currency/banking collapse occurs interest rates rise and there is a persistent decline in output. This paper proposes an explanation for these regularities. We show that government guarantees lower interest rates, and generate an economic boom. But they also lead to a more fragile banking system: banks choose not to hedge exchange rate risk. When the fixed exchange rate is abandoned in favor of a crawling peg banks go bankrupt, the domestic interest rate rises, real wages fall and output declines.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Fixed exchange rate systems Government guarantees Hedging
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp2189
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/531296
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Achim Wambach. DP2189 Renegotiation Before Contract Execution. 1999.
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