G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP2487
DP2487 Language Proficiency and Labour Market Performance of Immigrants in the UK
Christian Dustmann; Francesca Fabbri
发表日期2000-06-27
出版年2000
语种英语
摘要This paper studies the joint dynamics of US output and unemployment rates in a nonlinear VAR model. The nonlinearity is introduced through a feedback variable that endogenously augments the output lags of the VAR in recessionary phases. Sufficient conditions for the ergodicity of the model, potentially applying to a larger class of threshold models, are provided. The linear specification is severely rejected in favour of our threshold VAR. However, in the estimation the feedback is found to be statistically significant only on unemployment, while it transmits to output through its cross-correlation. This feedback effect from recessions generates important asymmetries in the propagation of shocks, a possible key to interpret the divergence in the measures of persistence existing in the literature. The regime-dependent persistence also explains the finding that the feedback from recession exerts a positive effect on the long-run growth rate of the economy, an empirical validation for the Schumpeterian macroeconomic theories.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Ergodicity Impulse response function Long-run effect of recessions Nonlinearity Persistence Threshold var
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp2487
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/531564
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Christian Dustmann,Francesca Fabbri. DP2487 Language Proficiency and Labour Market Performance of Immigrants in the UK. 2000.
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