| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP3265 |
| DP3265 Factor Based Index Tracking | |
| Massimiliano Marcellino; Francesco Corielli | |
| 发表日期 | 2002-03-20 |
| 出版年 | 2002 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This Paper studies how discretionary fiscal policy affects output volatility and the rate of economic growth. Using data on fifty-one countries we isolate five empirical regularities: (1) Governments that use often fiscal policy make their economies volatile; (2) The use of fiscal policy is explained to a large extent by the presence of political constraints and other political and institutional variables; (3) The volatility of output induced by discretionary fiscal policy lowers economic growth by 0.6 percentage points for every percentage point increase in volatility; (4) There is evidence that the increase in volatility is in part due to electoral cycles; nevertheless, we do find that political constraints restrain fiscal policy beyond their impact on the traditional election-year volatility; (5) Rules-based fiscal policy identified by the degree of automatic stabilizers in the economy helps to stabilize business cycles. The evidence in the Paper argues in favour of imposing institutional restrictions on governments as a way of reducing output volatility and increasing the rate of economic growth. |
| 主题 | International Macroeconomics |
| 关键词 | Fiscal policy Business cycle volatility Political constraints Economic growth |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp3265 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/532292 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Massimiliano Marcellino,Francesco Corielli. DP3265 Factor Based Index Tracking. 2002. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
