G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP3282
DP3282 Should Smart Investors Buy Funds with High Returns in the Past?
Harald Uhlig; Frédéric Palomino
发表日期2002-03-20
出版年2002
语种英语
摘要Newspapers and weekly magazines catering to the investing crowd often rank funds according to the returns generated in the past. Aside from satisfying sheer curiosity, these numbers are probably also the basis on which investors pick a fund to invest in. In this article, we fully characterize the equilibrium in a game between a mutual fund manager of unknown ability who controls the riskiness of his portfolio and investors who only observe realized returns. We derive conditions under which (i) investors invest in the fund if the realized return falls within some interval, ie., is neither too low nor too high, (ii) an informed fund manager picks a portfolio of minimal riskiness, (iii) an uninformed mutual fund manager will pick a portfolio with higher risk, ?gambling? on a lucky outcome and (iv), when the fee structure is endogenous, both types of manager choose the same fraction-of-fund fee structure. Our results are consistent with empirical evidence about the lack of persistence of top performance, and about the very wide use of fraction-of-fund fee structure among mutual funds.
主题Financial Economics
关键词Actively managed funds Index funds Fund-picking strategy Fraction-of-fund fees
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp3282
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/532307
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Harald Uhlig,Frédéric Palomino. DP3282 Should Smart Investors Buy Funds with High Returns in the Past?. 2002.
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