| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP3360 |
| DP3360 The Market for Used Cars: A New Test of the Lemons Model | |
| Winand Emons; George Sheldon | |
| 发表日期 | 2002-05-20 |
| 出版年 | 2002 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This Paper delivers a precise recommendation for how presidential candidates should allocate their resources to maximize the probability of gaining a majority in the Electoral College. A two-candidate, probabilistic-voting model reveals that more resources should be devoted to states which are likely to be decisive in the Electoral College and, at the same time, have very close state elections. The optimal strategies are empirically estimated using state-level opinion polls available in September of the election year. The model?s recommended campaign strategies closely resemble those used in actual campaigns. The Paper also analyses how the allocation of resources would change under the alternative electoral rule of a direct national vote for president. |
| 主题 | Public Economics |
| 关键词 | Elections Political campaigns Public expenditure |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp3360 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/532384 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Winand Emons,George Sheldon. DP3360 The Market for Used Cars: A New Test of the Lemons Model. 2002. |
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