| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP3726 |
| DP3726 More Evidence on the Dollar Risk Premium in the Foreign Exchange Market | |
| Christian Wolff; Dennis Bams; Kim Walkowiak | |
| 发表日期 | 2003-01-23 |
| 出版年 | 2003 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We show that time-to-build, which creates a lag between the decision to invest and production, is an important element of industry structure. We study a multi-period investment game where there is demand uncertainty. Allowing for time-to-build alters, non-monotonically, the classic trade-off between making strategic commitments and exploiting the option to wait. At first, increases in time-to-build make commitment more likely as the committing firm has the market to itself for longer after the resolution of uncertainty. As time-to-build becomes more substantial, however, the likelihood of commitment declines as the follower firm increasingly makes its own ex ante investments. Furthermore, time-to-build gives rise to a novel incremental Cournot equilibrium where both firms make small ex ante investments, which they then scale up if uncertainty is positively resolved. This behaviour contrasts with most prior work on multi-period investment games where firms invest only once. We show how time-to-build affects firm heterogeneity, investment timing, the option value of waiting, the evolution of prices and social welfare. |
| 主题 | Industrial Organization |
| 关键词 | Strategic commitment Real options Endogenous investment timing |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp3726 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/532701 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Christian Wolff,Dennis Bams,Kim Walkowiak. DP3726 More Evidence on the Dollar Risk Premium in the Foreign Exchange Market. 2003. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
