G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP3808
DP3808 Can Information Heterogeneity Explain the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle?
Philippe Bacchetta; Eric van Wincoop
发表日期2003-02-23
出版年2003
语种英语
摘要We study the effect of regional expenditure and revenue shocks on price dispersion in a monetary union using annual US state and quarterly EU data. We identify fiscal shocks using sign restrictions on the dynamics of expenditures, revenues, deficits and output. We construct two estimates for structural price dispersion dynamics, one for the average and one for each unit, which optimally weight the information contained in the data for all units. We find that fiscal shocks explain between 10-20% of the variability of price dispersion in the US and between 3-4% in the EU. On average, the predictions of standard theory are confirmed: expansionary fiscal disturbances produce positive price dispersion responses in both areas while distortionary balance budget shocks produce negative price responses. In about one third of the units, negative price dispersion responses to expansionary fiscal shocks are observed. Further, heterogeneities in shapes and peak responses are observed. Explanations for the puzzling features are provided.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Fiscal policy Price dispersions Bayesian techniques Supply effects
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp3808
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/532797
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Philippe Bacchetta,Eric van Wincoop. DP3808 Can Information Heterogeneity Explain the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle?. 2003.
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