G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP3881
DP3881 Tax Incentives to Saving and Borrowing
Tullio Jappelli; Luigi Pistaferri
发表日期2003-05-23
出版年2003
语种英语
摘要I investigate the determinants of business cycles synchronization across regions. I use both international and intranational data to evaluate the linkages between trade in goods, trade in financial assets, specialization and business cycles synchronization in the context of a system of simultaneous equations. In all specifications, the results are as follows. (i) Simultaneity is important, as both trade and financial openness have a direct and an indirect effect on cycles of synchronization. (ii) A variety of alternative measures of financial integration suggest that economic regions with strong financial links are significantly more synchronized, even though they are also more specialized. (iii) Specialization patterns have a sizeable effect on business cycles, above and beyond their reflection of intra-industry trade and of openness to goods and assets trade. (iv) The simultaneous approach makes it possible to disentangle the impacts of both inter- and intra-industry trades. The estimated role of trade is in line with existing models once intra-industry trade is controlled for. Furthermore, trade-induced specialization has virtually no effect on cycles synchronization. The results obtain in a variety of datasets, measurement strategies and specifications. They relate to a recent strand of International Business Cycles models with incomplete markets and transport costs, and on the empirical side, point to an important omission in the list of criteria defining an Optimal Currency Area, namely specialization patterns.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Specialization Financial openness Trade International business cycle Optimal currency area
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp3881
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/532869
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Tullio Jappelli,Luigi Pistaferri. DP3881 Tax Incentives to Saving and Borrowing. 2003.
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