G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP4112
DP4112 Endogeneity of Currency Areas and Trade Blocs: Evidence from the Inter-war Period
Albrecht Ritschl; Nikolaus Wolf
发表日期2003-11-23
出版年2003
语种英语
摘要While the literature has established that there is substantial and highly selective return migration, the growing importance of repeat migration has been largely ignored. Using Markov chain analysis, this Paper provides a modelling framework for repeated moves of migrants between the host and home countries. The Markov transition matrix between the states in two consecutive periods is parameterized and estimated using a logit specification and a large panel data with 14 waves. The analysis for Germany, the largest European immigration country, shows that more than 60% of migrants are indeed repeat migrants. The out-migration per year is low, about 10%. Migrants are more likely to leave again early after their arrival in Germany and when they have social and familial bonds in the home country; but less likely when they have a job in Germany and speak the language well. Once out-migrated from Germany, the return probability is about 80% and guided mainly by remittances and family considerations.
主题Labour Economics
关键词C44 Repeat migration Guest workers Qualitative choice models Duration analysis Markov chain analysis
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp4112
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/533087
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Albrecht Ritschl,Nikolaus Wolf. DP4112 Endogeneity of Currency Areas and Trade Blocs: Evidence from the Inter-war Period. 2003.
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