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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP4112 |
DP4112 Endogeneity of Currency Areas and Trade Blocs: Evidence from the Inter-war Period | |
Albrecht Ritschl; Nikolaus Wolf | |
发表日期 | 2003-11-23 |
出版年 | 2003 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | While the literature has established that there is substantial and highly selective return migration, the growing importance of repeat migration has been largely ignored. Using Markov chain analysis, this Paper provides a modelling framework for repeated moves of migrants between the host and home countries. The Markov transition matrix between the states in two consecutive periods is parameterized and estimated using a logit specification and a large panel data with 14 waves. The analysis for Germany, the largest European immigration country, shows that more than 60% of migrants are indeed repeat migrants. The out-migration per year is low, about 10%. Migrants are more likely to leave again early after their arrival in Germany and when they have social and familial bonds in the home country; but less likely when they have a job in Germany and speak the language well. Once out-migrated from Germany, the return probability is about 80% and guided mainly by remittances and family considerations. |
主题 | Labour Economics |
关键词 | C44 Repeat migration Guest workers Qualitative choice models Duration analysis Markov chain analysis |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp4112 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/533087 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Albrecht Ritschl,Nikolaus Wolf. DP4112 Endogeneity of Currency Areas and Trade Blocs: Evidence from the Inter-war Period. 2003. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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