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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP4360 |
DP4360 Why are Long Rates Sensitive to Monetary Policy? | |
Tore Ellingsen; Ulf Söderström | |
发表日期 | 2004-04-23 |
出版年 | 2004 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Fiscal policy restrictions are often criticized for limiting the ability of governments to react to business cycle fluctuations. Therefore, the adoption of quantitative restrictions is viewed as inevitably leading to increased macroeconomic volatility. In this Paper we use data from 48 US states to investigate how budget rules affect fiscal policy outcomes. Our key findings are that (1) strict budgetary restrictions lead to lower policy volatility (i.e. less discretion in conducting fiscal policy); and (2) fiscal restrictions reduce the responsiveness of fiscal policy to output shocks and decrease the persistence of spending fluctuations. These two results should have opposite effects on output volatility. While less discretion should reduce volatility, less responsiveness of fiscal policy might amplify business cycle volatility. Our analysis shows that the first effect dominates and that restrictions on fiscal policy lead to less volatility in output. |
主题 | International Macroeconomics |
关键词 | Fiscal policy Business cycles Fiscal rules |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp4360 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/533312 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tore Ellingsen,Ulf Söderström. DP4360 Why are Long Rates Sensitive to Monetary Policy?. 2004. |
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