G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP4907
DP4907 A Theory of Influence: The Strategic Value of Public Ignorance
Juan Carrillo; Isabelle Brocas
发表日期2005-02-23
出版年2005
语种英语
摘要We examine the risk-return characteristics of a rolling portfolio investment strategy where more than six thousand Nasdaq initial public offering (IPO) stocks are bought and held for up to five years. The average long-run portfolio return is low, but IPO stocks appear as ?longshots?, as five-year buy-and-hold returns of 1000% or more are somewhat more frequent than for non-issuing Nasdaq firms matched on size and book-to-market ratio. The typical IPO firm is of average Nasdaq market capitalization but has relatively low book-to-market ratio. We also show that IPO firms exhibit relatively high stock turnover and low leverage, which may lower systematic risk exposures. To examine this possibility, we launch an easily constructed ?low minus high? (LMH) stock turnover portfolio as a liquidity risk factor. The LMH factor produces significant betas for broad-based stock portfolios, as well as for our IPO portfolio and a comparison portfolio of seasoned equity offerings. The factor-model estimation also includes standard characteristics-based risk factors, and we explore mimicking portfolios for leverage-related macroeconomic risks. Because they track macroeconomic aggregates, these mimicking portfolios are relatively immune to market sentiment effects. Overall, we cannot reject the hypothesis that the realized return on the IPO portfolio is commensurable with the portfolio?s risk exposures, as defined here.
主题Financial Economics
关键词Asset pricing Liquidity Risk and return Initial public offering (ipo) Capital structure Market efficiency
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp4907
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/533810
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Juan Carrillo,Isabelle Brocas. DP4907 A Theory of Influence: The Strategic Value of Public Ignorance. 2005.
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