| 来源类型 | Discussion paper
|
| 规范类型 | 论文
|
| 来源ID | DP5682
|
| DP5682 Close Neighbours Matter: Neighbourhood Effects on Early Performance at School |
| Dominique Goux; Eric Maurin
|
| 发表日期 | 2006-05-24
|
| 出版年 | 2006
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | The conventional wisdom in political science is that for a democracy to be consoliated, all groups must have a chance to attain power. If they do not then they will subvert democracy and choose to fight for power. In this paper we show that this wisdom is, if not totally incorrect, seriously incomplete. This is so because although the probability of winning an election increases with the size of a group, so does the probability of winning a fight. Thus in a situation where all groups have a high chance of winning an election, they may also have a high chance of winning a fight. Indeed, in a natural model, we show that democracy may never be consolidated in such a situation. Rather, democracy may only be stable when one group is dominant. We provide a test of a key aspect of our model using data from La Violencia, a political conflict in Colombia during the years 1946-1950 between the Liberal and Conservative parties. Consistent with our results, and contrary to the conventional wisdom, we show that fighting between the parties was more intense in municipalities where the support of the parties was more evenly balanced. |
| 主题 | Public Economics
|
| 关键词 | Conflict
Democracy
|
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp5682
|
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
|
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/534527
|
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Dominique Goux,Eric Maurin. DP5682 Close Neighbours Matter: Neighbourhood Effects on Early Performance at School. 2006.
|
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