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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP5793 |
DP5793 Fiscal Policy and the Term Structure: Evidence from the Case of Italy in the EMS and the EMU Periods | |
Carlo A. Favero; Stefano Giglio | |
发表日期 | 2006-08-09 |
出版年 | 2006 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Flexible inflation targeting cannot be rationalised using conventional welfare economic criteria, except in a single, practically uninteresting special case. New-Keynesian DSGE models imply that optimal monetary policy implements the Bailey-Friedman Optimal Quantity of Money rule and that actual inflation fully validates or accommodates core inflation. Flexible inflation targeting is also inconsistent with the mandates of leading inflation targeters like the Bank of England and the ECB. These mandates are lexicographic in price stability and therefore does not permit a trade-off between inflation volatility and output gap volatility in the monetary policy maker's objective function. Operational independence of the central bank is limited by the central bank's intertemporal budget constraint. Price stability, or an externally imposed inflation target, may not be independently financeable by the central bank. In that case, active budgetary support from the Treasury is necessary to make the inflation target financeable. Independent monetary policy is fully compatible with coordinated and cooperative monetary and fiscal policy. Central bank operational independence precludes substantive accountability; it is compatible only with a weak form of formal accountability: reporting obligations. Central bank independence will only survive if it is viewed as legitimate by the polity and its citizens. A necessary condition for this is that the central bank restricts its activities and public discourse to its natural core mandate: price stability and the capacity and willingness to act as lender of last resort. The Protocol on the Statute of the ESCB and the ECB has given the ECB a mandate that goes beyond this natural core mandate. Such behaviour represents a threat to its continued independence. |
主题 | International Macroeconomics |
关键词 | Flexible inflation targeting Accountability Central bank intertemporal budget constraint |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp5793 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/534631 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Carlo A. Favero,Stefano Giglio. DP5793 Fiscal Policy and the Term Structure: Evidence from the Case of Italy in the EMS and the EMU Periods. 2006. |
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