G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP5793
DP5793 Fiscal Policy and the Term Structure: Evidence from the Case of Italy in the EMS and the EMU Periods
Carlo A. Favero; Stefano Giglio
发表日期2006-08-09
出版年2006
语种英语
摘要Flexible inflation targeting cannot be rationalised using conventional welfare economic criteria, except in a single, practically uninteresting special case. New-Keynesian DSGE models imply that optimal monetary policy implements the Bailey-Friedman Optimal Quantity of Money rule and that actual inflation fully validates or accommodates core inflation. Flexible inflation targeting is also inconsistent with the mandates of leading inflation targeters like the Bank of England and the ECB. These mandates are lexicographic in price stability and therefore does not permit a trade-off between inflation volatility and output gap volatility in the monetary policy maker's objective function. Operational independence of the central bank is limited by the central bank's intertemporal budget constraint. Price stability, or an externally imposed inflation target, may not be independently financeable by the central bank. In that case, active budgetary support from the Treasury is necessary to make the inflation target financeable. Independent monetary policy is fully compatible with coordinated and cooperative monetary and fiscal policy. Central bank operational independence precludes substantive accountability; it is compatible only with a weak form of formal accountability: reporting obligations. Central bank independence will only survive if it is viewed as legitimate by the polity and its citizens. A necessary condition for this is that the central bank restricts its activities and public discourse to its natural core mandate: price stability and the capacity and willingness to act as lender of last resort. The Protocol on the Statute of the ESCB and the ECB has given the ECB a mandate that goes beyond this natural core mandate. Such behaviour represents a threat to its continued independence.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Flexible inflation targeting Accountability Central bank intertemporal budget constraint
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp5793
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/534631
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Carlo A. Favero,Stefano Giglio. DP5793 Fiscal Policy and the Term Structure: Evidence from the Case of Italy in the EMS and the EMU Periods. 2006.
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