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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP6370 |
DP6370 The Origins of State Capacity: Property Rights, Taxation, and Politics | |
Torsten Persson; Tim Besley | |
发表日期 | 2007-06-29 |
出版年 | 2007 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper proposes a dynamic politico-economic theory of debt, government finance and expenditure. Agents have preferences over a private and a government-provided public good, financed through labour taxation. Subsequent generations of voters choose taxation, government expenditure and debt accumulation through repeated elections. Debt introduces a conflict of interest between young and old voters: the young want more fiscal discipline. We characterize the Markov Perfect Equilibrium of the dynamic voting game. If taxes do not distort labour supply, the economy progressively depletes its resources through debt accumulation, leaving future generations "enslaved". However, if tax distortions are sufficiently large, the economy converges to a stationary debt level which is bounded away from the endogenous debt limit. The current fiscal policy is disciplined by the concern of young voters for the ability of future government to provide public goods. The steady-state and dynamics of debt depend on the voters? taste for public consumption. The stronger the preference for public consumption, the less debt is accumulates. We extend the analysis to redistributive policies and political shocks. The theory predicts government debt to be mean reverting and debt growth to be larger under right-wing than under left-wing governments. Data from the US and from a panel of 21 OECD countries confirm these theoretical predictions. |
主题 | International Macroeconomics |
关键词 | Fiscal discipline Fiscal policy Government debt Intergenerational conflict Left- and right-wing governments Markov equilibrium Political economy Public finance Repeated voting |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp6370 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/535209 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Torsten Persson,Tim Besley. DP6370 The Origins of State Capacity: Property Rights, Taxation, and Politics. 2007. |
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