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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP6420 |
DP6420 Bonds and Brands: Lessons from the 1820s | |
Marc Flandreau; Juan Flores; Norbert Gaillard | |
发表日期 | 2007-08-10 |
出版年 | 2007 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | In this paper we test for the theory of deterrence. We exploit the natural experiment provided by the Collective Clemency Bill passed by the Italian Parliament in July 2006. As a consequence of the provisions of the bill, expected punishment to former inmates recommitting a crime can be considered as good as randomly assigned. Based on a unique data set on post-release behaviour of former inmates, we find that an additional month in expected sentence reduces the propensity to recommit a crime by 1.24 percent: this corroborates the general deterrence hypothesis. However, this effect depends on the time previously served in prison: the behavioural response to an additional month of expected sentence decreases with the length of the prison spell. This second result can be hardly reconciled with the specific deterrence hypothesis according to which a stronger past experience of punishment should increase the sensitivity to future expected sanctions. |
主题 | Public Economics |
关键词 | Crime Deterrence Natural experiment Recidivism |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp6420 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/535258 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Marc Flandreau,Juan Flores,Norbert Gaillard. DP6420 Bonds and Brands: Lessons from the 1820s. 2007. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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