| 来源类型 | Discussion paper
|
| 规范类型 | 论文
|
| 来源ID | DP6717
|
| DP6717 Brain Drained: A Tale of Two Countries |
| Dan Ben-David
|
| 发表日期 | 2008-02-22
|
| 出版年 | 2008
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | This paper brings together several important strands of the econometrics literature: error-correction, cointegration and dynamic factor models. It introduces the Factor-augmented Error Correction Model (FECM), where the factors estimated from a large set of variables in levels are jointly modelled with a few key economic variables of interest. With respect to the standard ECM, the FECM protects, at least in part, from omitted variable bias and the dependence of cointegration analysis on the specific limited set of variables under analysis. It may also be in some cases a refinement of the standard Dynamic Factor Model (DFM), since it allows us to include the error correction terms into the equations, and by allowing for cointegration prevent the errors from being non-invertible moving average processes. In addition, the FECM is a natural generalization of factor augmented VARs (FAVAR) considered by Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz (2005) inter alia, which are specified in first differences and are therefore misspecified in the presence of cointegration. The FECM has a vast range of applicability. A set of Monte Carlo experiments and two detailed empirical examples highlight its merits in finite samples relative to standard ECM and FAVAR models. The analysis is conducted primarily within an in-sample framework, although the out-of-sample implications are also explored. |
| 主题 | International Macroeconomics
|
| 关键词 | Cointegration
Dynamic factor models
Error correction models
Factor-augmented error correction models
Favar
Var
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| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp6717
|
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/535555
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Dan Ben-David. DP6717 Brain Drained: A Tale of Two Countries. 2008.
|
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