G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP6908
DP6908 Democratic Peace and Electoral Accountability¤
Nicolas Sahuguet; Maurizio Zanardi; Paola Conconi
发表日期2008-07-11
出版年2008
语种英语
摘要Should central banks increase their degree of transparency any further? We show that there is likely to be an optimal intermediate degree of central bank transparency. Up to this optimum more transparency is desirable: it improves the quality of private sector inflation forecasts. But beyond the optimum people might: (1) start to attach too much weight to the conditionality of their forecasts, and/or (2) get confused by the large and increasing amount of information they receive. This deteriorates the (perceived) quality of private sector inflation forecasts. Inflation then is set in a more backward looking manner resulting in higher inflation persistence. By using a panel data set on the transparency of 100 central banks we find empirical support for an optimal intermediate degree of transparency at which inflation persistence is minimized. Our results indicate that while there are central banks that would benefit from further transparency increases, some might already have reached the limit.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Central bank transparency Inflation persistence monetary policy
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp6908
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/535744
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Nicolas Sahuguet,Maurizio Zanardi,Paola Conconi. DP6908 Democratic Peace and Electoral Accountability¤. 2008.
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