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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP7003 |
DP7003 The International Dimension of Productivity and Demand Shocks in the US Economy | |
Giancarlo Corsetti; Luca Dedola; Sylvain Leduc | |
发表日期 | 2008-10-17 |
出版年 | 2008 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Financial globalization has seen the emergence of a new monetary standard based on inflation targeting. At the same time the most financially advanced economies moved away from exchange rate targeting which also characterized the previous era of globalization - the era of the Classical Gold Standard. Does the new financial environment of free capital flows constrain the independence of central banks to conduct monetary policy? We argue, and show empirically, that credible inflation targeting allows central banks to conduct an independent monetary policy as manifested in their ability to deviate from the world (Fed) interest rate. This new regime, with exchange rate flexibility, generates sufficient short term volatility that prevents short term arbitrage against central banks that deviate from the Fed rate. In contrast, during the Gold Standard only limited deviation was possible within the 'gold points'. On the other hand, the credibility of inflation targeting regime is as good as gold in anchoring inflation expectations for the long run as manifested in strong co-movement and similar levels of long term borrowing rates- just as was the case during the gold standard. We conclude that inflation targeting allows more flexibility than the Gold Standard to conduct monetary policy in the short run and has similar benefits for long term stability. We suggest that it is the new golden rule. |
主题 | International Macroeconomics |
关键词 | Credibility Exchange rate variability Gold standard Inflation targeting |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp7003 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/535823 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Giancarlo Corsetti,Luca Dedola,Sylvain Leduc. DP7003 The International Dimension of Productivity and Demand Shocks in the US Economy. 2008. |
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