全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): DP7160 Global Distortions to Agricultural Markets: New Indicators of Trade and Welfare Impacts, 1955 to 2007

G2TT

来源类型	Discussion paper
规范类型	论文
来源ID	DP7160
	DP7160 Global Distortions to Agricultural Markets: New Indicators of Trade and Welfare Impacts, 1955 to 2007
	Kym Anderson; Peter J Lloyd; Johanna L. Croser
发表日期	2009-02-23
出版年	2009
语种	英语
摘要	We estimate the impact of a large anti-poverty program - the Uruguayan PANES - on political support for the government that implemented it. The program mainly consisted of a monthly cash transfer for a period of roughly two and half years. Using the discontinuity in program assignment based on a pre-treatment score, we find that beneficiary households are 21 to 28 percentage points more likely to favor the current government (relative to the previous government). Impacts on political support are larger among poorer households and for those near the center of the political spectrum, consistent with the probabilistic voting model in political economy. Effects persist after the cash transfer program ends. We estimate that the annual cost of increasing government political support by 1 percentage point is roughly 0.9% of annual government social expenditures.
主题	Labour Economics ; Public Economics
关键词	Conditional cash transfers Redistributive politics Regression discontinuity Voting
URL	https://cepr.org/publications/dp7160
来源智库	Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/536006
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kym Anderson,Peter J Lloyd,Johanna L. Croser. DP7160 Global Distortions to Agricultural Markets: New Indicators of Trade and Welfare Impacts, 1955 to 2007. 2009.