G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP7249
DP7249 Safe Haven Currencies
Paul Söderlind; Angelo Ranaldo
发表日期2009-04-05
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要In this paper, we perform a structural Bayesian estimation of the contribution of anticipated shocks to business cycles in the postwar United States. Our theoretical framework is a real-business-cycle model augmented with four real rigidities: investment adjustment costs, variable capacity utilization, habit formation in consumption, and habit formation in leisure. Business cycles are assumed to be driven by permanent and stationary neutral productivity shocks, permanent investment-specific shocks, and government spending shocks. Each of these driving forces is buffeted by four types of structural innovations: unanticipated innovations and innovations anticipated one, two, and three quarters in advance. We find that anticipated shocks account for more than two thirds of predicted aggregate fluctuations.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Anticipated shocks Bayesian estimation Sources of aggregate fluctuations
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp7249
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/536086
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Paul Söderlind,Angelo Ranaldo. DP7249 Safe Haven Currencies. 2009.
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