G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP7258
DP7258 (Un)Happiness in Transition
Sergei Guriev; Ekaterina Zhuravskaya
发表日期2009-04-12
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要Economists are skeptical about the economic benefits of hosting "mega-events" such as the Olympic Games or the World Cup, since such activities have considerable cost and seem to yield few tangible benefits. These doubts are rarely shared by policy-makers and the population, who are typically quite enthusiastic about such spectacles. In this paper, we reconcile these positions by examining the economic impact of hosting mega-events like the Olympics; we focus on trade. Using a variety of trade models, we show that hosting a mega-event like the Olympics has a positive impact on national exports. This effect is statistically robust, permanent, and large; trade is around 30% higher for countries that have hosted the Olympics. Interestingly however, we also find that unsuccessful bids to host the Olympics have a similar positive impact on exports. We conclude that the Olympic effect on trade is attributable to the signal a country sends when bidding to host the games, rather than the act of actually holding a mega-event. We develop a political economy model that formalizes this idea, and derives the conditions under which a signal like this is used by countries wishing to liberalize.
主题International Macroeconomics ; International Trade and Regional Economics
关键词Mega-event Data Signaling Trade Liberalization Host Candidate Model
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp7258
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/536095
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sergei Guriev,Ekaterina Zhuravskaya. DP7258 (Un)Happiness in Transition. 2009.
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