G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP7288
DP7288 Minimum Wages and Firm Training
Dennis Snower; Wolfgang Lechthaler
发表日期2009-05-03
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要A common view in the literature is that the effect of energy price shocks on macroeconomic aggregates is asymmetric in energy price increases and decreases. We show that widely used asymmetric vector autoregressive models of the transmission of energy price shocks are misspecified, resulting in inconsistent parameter estimates, and that the implied impulse responses have been routinely computed incorrectly. As a result, the quantitative importance of unanticipated energy price increases for the U.S. economy has been exaggerated. In response to this problem, we develop alternative regression models and methods of computing responses to energy price shocks that yield consistent estimates regardless of the degree of asymmetry. We also introduce improved tests of the null hypothesis of symmetry in the responses to energy price increases and decreases. An empirical study reveals little evidence against the null hypothesis of symmetry in the responses to energy price shocks. Our analysis also has direct implications for the theoretical literature on the transmission of energy price shocks and for the debate about policy responses to energy price shocks.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Asymmetry Energy price Impulse response Net increase Oil price Propagation Shock Transmission Vector autoregression
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp7288
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/536125
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Dennis Snower,Wolfgang Lechthaler. DP7288 Minimum Wages and Firm Training. 2009.
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