G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP7498
DP7498 Internal Rationality and Asset Prices
Albert Marcet; Klaus Adam
发表日期2009-10-18
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要We defend the forecasting performance of the FOMC from the recent criticism of Christina and David Romer. Our argument is that the FOMC forecasts a worst-case scenario that it uses to design decisions that will work well enough (are robust) despite possible misspecification of its model. Because these FOMC forecasts are not predictions of what the FOMC expects to occur under its model, it is inappropriate to compare their performance in a horse race against other forecasts. Our interpretation of the FOMC as a robust policymaker can explain all the findings of the Romers and rationalises differences between FOMC forecasts and forecasts published in the Greenbook by the staff of the Federal Reserve System.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Forecasting Robustness monetary policy
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp7498
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/536334
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Albert Marcet,Klaus Adam. DP7498 Internal Rationality and Asset Prices. 2009.
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